Q1 2023 Financial Results
Canada: Growth in Household Credit
• Household credit growth picked up rapidly throughout 2021 and into 2022, peaking at 9.2% y/y in spring
2022 (but lower than its previous 2007 peak of 13.4%). It has since declined with recent figures at 7.7%
y/y for the rolling quarter ending in Nov. 2022.
• Consumer loans excluding mortgages (i.e., cards, HELOCs, unsecured lines, auto loans, etc.) grew by 5.1%
y/y for the rolling quarter ending Nov. 2022. Consumer loan growth, unlike household credit and
•
residential mortgage growth, has not shown any sign of slowing yet.
Mortgage credit grew at 8.3% y/y in the rolling quarter ending Nov. 2022 (vs the 2007 peak of 14.0% y/y).
Mortgage growth is slowing amidst higher rates.
Household Credit Growth
Consumer Loan Growth
Residential Mortgage Growth
20
%, 3-month moving average
y/y%
15
change
%, 3-month moving average
25
20
y/y %
change
15
20
%, 3-month moving average
y/y % change
15
10
5
10
0
10
-5
-10
5
m/m%
change,
SA
-15
m/m%
change, SA
5
m/m%
change,
SA
-20
-25
0
0
01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Statistics
01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Statistics
Canada.
01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Statistics
Canada.
Canada.
70
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