State of the Bangladesh Economy in FY2023-24 (First Reading) slide image

State of the Bangladesh Economy in FY2023-24 (First Reading)

Independent Review of RBD Bangladesh's Development Debt Servicing: An emergent concern In the backdrop of Bangladesh's Middle-income graduation, interest rates on its foreign borrowings are on the rise. ☐ Share of grants and concessional loans in the loan portfolio has been on the decline. ☐ More stringent terms of borrowings (grace period and maturity period are coming down; loans with surcharges and service charges going up). ☐ Principal plus interest payments on long term loans was USD 5.3 billion in 2021, which rose to USD 6.2 billion in 2022 (16.9% growth). The corresponding figure was only USD 3.7 billion in 2020. ➤ Some of the foreign borrowings of Bangladesh have been incurred at flexible LIBOR/SOFR rates (e.g. loans from Islamic Trade Finance Corporations (ITFC) at SOFR+2% interest rate to ensure energy security). ➤ Debt servicing liabilities will rise significantly in the near and medium term future. Table 5.5: Movement of LIBOR, SOFR, and EURIBOR rates Year LIBOR (in percentage) SOFR EURIBOR 12 Months 6 months 2016 1.38 -0.17 2017 1.79 -0.26 2018 2.76 1.98 -0.27 2019 2.37 2.20 -0.30 2020 0.77 0.36 -0.37 2021 0.30 0.04 -0.52 3.40 1.64 0.68 5.47 4.96 3.66 2022 2023 Source: Extracted from Global Rates (2023). CPD (2023): State of the Bangladesh Economy in FY2023-24 (First Reading) 72
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