Group Financial Results H1 2016
0
0,05
0,1
0,15
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-10
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-11
0,2
Growth accelerated in 1H2016 and fiscal conditions are improving
Real GDP continued to expand in the first quarter
-0,4%
-0,8%
1,2%
2Q2012
3Q2012
-1,2%
-2,4%
-2,3%
4Q2012
-3,7%
1Q2013
-5,3%
2Q2013
-6,0%
3Q2013
-5,5%
4Q2013
-4,7%
1Q2014
2Q2014
3Q2014
4Q2014
-3,2%
-1,8%
1Q2015
-2,1%
-1,8%
0,1%
2Q2011
3Q2011
4Q2011
1Q2012
1,2%
2,3%
2,8%
2,7%
2,7%
2Q2015
3Q2015
4Q2015
1Q2016
2Q2016
...
with broad sector participation particularly from
trade, tourism, professional services, whilst....
0,0
Contribution to growth by sector in percentage
0,1
0,2
0,4
0,8
0,8
0,7
points
0,40,4
... on the expenditure side growth came from net
exports reflecting exceptional items such as
ships deregistering.
Contribution to growth by category of
expenditure in percent points
1,4
4,0
12,8
0,4
1,9
1,5
2,7
0,6
0.2
1,8
0,2
0,2
-1,2
0,2
-1,3
0,1
0,0
-4,2
-4,6
-1,2
-11,9
0,0
-3,2
-4,0
-1,5
-0,2
Agriculture
Construction
Professional &
admin
-0,3
Financial
Other
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015 2016Q1
2015 (growth 1,6%)
■Consumption
Investment
■Net Exports
Improved rating and credit outlook as
demonstrated by benchmark sovereign bond
issue
Cyprus 2019 (issued 06/2014)
Cyprus 2022 (issued 04/2015)
Cyprus 2025 (issued 11/2015)
Cyprus 2020
(issued 02/2010)
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-12
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-13
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-14
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
May-16
(1) Based on the Statistical Service of the Republic of Cyprus
=======
=============
SOURCE: Statistical Service of Republic of Cyprus, Bloomberg, and statistics based on Central Bank of Cyprus
2008Q4
2009Q2
2009Q4
2010Q2
2016Q1 (growth 2,6%)
The budget was totally balanced in 2015 on a
yearly basis excluding recapitalisation costs, and
6
3,5
4
2,2
2 0,9
0
-2
-0,3
-4
was positive in Q1 2016
Budget balance and primary balance as 4
quarter moving sums
-5,9-5,7
-4,5
-6,0
Expenditures dropped by 18,6% and revenues
only by 3,6% between 2011Q4 and 2016Q1 on a
4Q moving sums basis
Government expenditures and revenues
index: 100-2011Q4 of 4 Q moving sums
3,7
2,8
105,0
2.1
0,9
100,0
100,0
TT
-0,2
0.0
95,0
-0,9
90,4
90,0
92,3
89,3
85,0
Gov. Expenditure index
Gov. Revenue index
97,6
96,4
81,4
2010Q4
2011Q2
2011Q4
2012Q2
2012Q4
Budget balance % of GDP2
2013Q2
2013Q4
2014Q2
2014Q4
2015Q2
2015Q4
80,0
2011Q4
2012Q1
2012Q2
2012Q3
2012Q4
2013Q1
2013Q2
2013Q3
2013Q4
2014Q1
2014Q2
2014Q3
2014Q4
2015Q1
2015Q2
Bank of Cyprus
27
2015Q3
2015Q4
2016Q1
KOINO
ΚΥΠΡΙView entire presentation