3Q 2023 Investor Presentation
KSA Economic Outlook | Economic conditions remain positive for the Kingdom
Highlights
•
GDP declined by 4.6% in 3Q 2023 driven by lower oil activities
•
IMF revised down Saudi's GDP growth forecasts to 0.8% for 2023 and
revised up 2024 to 4.0%
•
Inflation eased to 1.7% in September 2023 and expected to normalize
in 2024 to 2.2%
Expenditure/Revenue and Asset Reserves (SARbn)
1,873
1,701
1,708
1,724
1,648*
1,268
1,262
1,164
1,180 1,251
1,059
1,076
927
1,039965
1,172
782
GDP Growth/Brent Oil Price
99.0
94.9
84.1
70.9
64.4
8.7
41.7
0.3
3.3
4.0
0.8
-4.1
2019
2020
2021
GDP Growth, Constant Prices (%)
2022
2023
Brent Crude (USD/bbl)
2024
Source: IMF, U.S. Energy Information
3M SAIBOR / Inflation
-0.1%
3.4%
3.3%
2.5%
2.6%
2.2%
5.9%
5.9%
3.2%
2.6%
1.2%
0.8%
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
Government expenditure
Source: MoF, SAMA
Government revenue
SAMA asset reserves
September 2023 figure
3M SAIBOR (average %)
Inflation (average consumer prices %)
Source: SAMA, IMF, MOF
3 Q 2023
Investor Presentation
18
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