Baird Investment Banking Pitch Book
SUMMARY FIRM TRANSPORT ("FT") COMMITMENTS
AR's firm transportation commitments relative to forecast gas production
2018-2022 FIRM TRANSPORT COMMITMENT VOLUMES¹¹
MMbtu / d
Marcellus Utica
6,000
5,000
4,000
I
3,000
2,000
1,000
AR Gross Gas Production Forecast (MMbtu/d)
EFT Commitment
Rex
Rover
M3
TGP
TCO/CGTLA
Other
Total
Total FT Cost ($mm)
$/mmbtu
Source: Antero management.
3,689
1,205
2,484
2018
ESTIMATED FT BY LINE (2) (MMBTU/D)
2018
660
880
688
778
640
43
3,689
Under-
Utilization
$696
$0.52
2019
660
880
688
869
1,410
227
4,734
$876
$0.51
Gas only volumes. Excludes ME2 and ATEX firm commitments.
4,734
2020
1,580
3,153
2019
660
880
688
869
1,410
160
4,667
$895
$0.53
2021
2022
4,667 4,667
$874 $822
$0.51 $0.48
(1)
(2) Estimated capacity on a btu equivalent basis, utilizing a 10% uplift. AR provided data is given on a btu basis.
(3)
Equals (Total FT Cost minus Mitigation for Unutilized Capacity) divided by Total Utilized Capacity.
4,667
855
3,811
2020
Total Capacity
Total Utilized Capacity
96 Utilized
Unutilized Capacity
4,667
Unutilized Cost ($mm)
Less:Mitigation ($mm)
Net Unutilized Cost ($mm)
"Fully Burdened" (3)
4,399
2021
FT UNUTILIZED COST (MMBTU/D)
2018
268
3,689
2,484
67%
1,205
2019
1,580
$290
$231
(115)
$116
$240
$0.64 $0.72
Confidential
4,734
4,667
3,153 3,811
67%
82%
855
(51)
2020
$134
5,017
2022
$98
$0.62
(36)
2021
4,667
4,667
4,399
94%
268
NA
ΝΑ
NA
NA
BAIRD
In September 2015, AR sold its integrated water business to AM for $1.05 billion, plus an additional $250 million
Production
exceeds FT
capacity
2022
4,667
5,017
108%
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
Project Bronco | Page 13View entire presentation