Scotiabank Investment Thesis

Mexico Diverse economy with a strong balance sheet • The Mexican economy reflects a solid mix of commodities, goods production, and services. Trade remains dominated by the U.S., but Mexico's diversification agenda is underpinned by 13 free-trade agreements with 47 countries that account for 40% of global GDP Despite NAFTA-related concerns, investment rebounded in 2018, which points to the resilience of the economy to trade uncertainty 16.0% Finance, Insurance, & Real Estate 16.3% Other 3.2% Natural Resources 5.8% Health & Education MEXICAN GDP BY INDUSTRY (Q4 2018) 6.5% Transportation 1.9% & Warehousing Professional, 3.8% Scientific, & Technical Services Public Administration 17.7% Wholesale & Retail Trade 15.8% Manufacturing 6.1% Mining and Oil & Gas Extraction 6.8% Construction 5 y/y % change 4 -1 -2 -3 -4 3210 - ≈ 3 4 5 Contributions to Mexican GDP Growth Top 5 Trading Partners Other* Net Exports Inventories Investment Government Germany 3% Japan 3% Canada 4% Consumption -5 Real GDP 16 17 18 *Statistical discrepancy, subject to revision. Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Haver Analytics. Others 20% United States 59% China 11% Scotiabank® 34 54

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