2018 Financial Performance
Canadian Household Credit Growth Moderating
Public policy changes are moderating growth in household credit
• Total household credit growing 4.4% in nominal terms in 2018, vs 2008 peak of 12% y/y
• Consumer loans excluding mortgages (cards, HELOCs, unsecured lines, auto loans, etc.)
are growing 4.4% in 2018 vs >6% in late-2017
Mortgage credit growing 4.4% year-to-date vs 2008 peak of 13%
HOUSEHOLD CREDIT GROWTH
CONSUMER LOAN GROWTH
RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE GROWTH
20
%, 3-month moving average
20
%, 3-month moving average
20
18
%, 3-month moving average
18
16
15
y/y %
14
yly %
change
16
change
m/m%
14
y/y %
12
change,
SA
10
change
12
10
10
8
5
CO
6
4
му
8
CO
+
2
0
90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bank of Canada.
m/m%
change, SA
2
-5
0
90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bank of Canada.
m/m%
change,
SA
90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18
Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bank of Canada.
Scotiabank®
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