Earnings Presentation Q3 2022

Made public by

sourced by PitchSend

10 of 65

Creator

Tupras logo
Tupras

Category

Financial

Published

30.06.2022

Slides

Transcriptions

#1Energy To the future Tüpras Koc Oct 2022 Investor Presentation#2Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements that reflect the Company management's current views with respect to certain future events. Although it is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, they may be affected by variables and changes in underlying assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially. Neither Tüpraş nor any of its directors, managers or employees nor any other person shall have any liability whatsoever for any loss arising from use of this presentation. Oct-22 Investor Presentation Disclaimer www.tupras.com.tr 2#3Refining Market#4Brent Crude Prices $/bbl 5yr range 130 5 yr ave 2021 2022 123.7 118.8 113.3 112.7 110 104.4 98.2 100.0 89.9 90 87.2 83.7 81.4 75.0 74.6 74.1 73.0 70.8 68.7 70 65.6 64.7 62.2 54.8 + OPEC++ production cuts + Impact of Iran & Venezuela sanctions + Improved mobility following vaccine deployments + Russia-Ukraine war Concerns on global economic development Uncertainties on new variants Year Average Brent Prices ($/bbl) 50 2017 54.3 2018 71.0 30 2019 64.3 2020 41.7 10 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2021 70.7 data as of 30 September 2022, 5 year range shows 2017-2021 Oct-22 Investor Presentation Refining Market www.tupras.com.tr 4#5Global Refinery Capacity Changes Expectations until 2025: • 73% of net capacity additions will come from Asia & Middle East • Net capacity and demand in Europe will remain roughly unchanged 2019-2025 Net Capacity Additions Capacity Additions by Region Closures Openings 2.3 1.0 1.6 1.5 2.6 ||||| -0.3 -1.1 -1.2 -1.7 -0.5 0.7 1.0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Oct-22 Investor Presentation Refining Market Asia Middle East www.tupras.com.tr Africa 10% Other 17% 29% 44% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 5#6Middle Distillate Cracks $/bbl Diesel Jet Fuel 5 yr range 5 yr ave 2021 2022 5yr range 5 yr ave 2021 2022 50 47.1 54.2 45.2 55 50 44.2 45 40 40 35 31.6 30 25 20 15 12.0 11.8 10 4.9 5 0 37.4 38.4 41.6 46.4 6.8 5.0 5.1 3.7 5.7 4.8 45 40 40 35 30 24.0 25 20 20 15 12.9 12.6 10 10.4 10.8 9.4 5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 data as of 30 September 2022, 5 year range shows 2017-2021 Oct-22 Investor Presentation Refining Market 40.2 39.0 42.3 30.8 9.3 10.0 8.0 6.6 4.1 0 3.0 1.8 0.9 1.9 2.3 2.7 2.5 -5 11 12 www.tupras.com.tr 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 6#7Gasoline and High Sulphur Fuel Oil Cracks $/bbl Gasoline 5yr range 2022 2021 5 yr ave 5 yr range 50 0 45 40 40 44.0 38.0 35 30 25 20 25.7 24.7 High Sulphur Fuel Oil 2022 2021 5 yr ave -5 -6.4 -10.7-10.4 -10 -9.7 -12.9 -11.7-11.0 -12.6 -13.9-14.5 -13.6 -16.0 -15 17.3 -20.2 -20 -22.2 -25 -26.5 -26.4 -30 13.4 15 12.7 11.6 15.7 12.5 13.7 15.1 14.1 10 7.0 12.7 -35 11.5 6.2 10.4 10.6 10.8 11.1 10.6 5 -40 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 data as of 30 September 2022, 5 year range shows 2017-2021 Oct-22 Investor Presentation Refining Market 10 10 -45 11 12 www.tupras.com.tr -40.1 -41.0 -34.4 -43.6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 7#8Heavy Crude Price Differentials to Brent ($/bbl) 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 Iran Sanctions OPEC+ Cut Decision OPEC+ disagreement OPEC+ Cut Decision Russia - Ukraine War Arab Heavy Basrah Heavy Kirkuk CPC Average* 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2018 data as of 30 September 2022 Oct-22 Refining Market Investor Presentation 2019 2020 www.tupras.com.tr 2021 2022 *Simple average of listed differentials 8#9Turkish Market B Tipras DI Taps BAK V/SCOR#10Turkish Market, 6M 2022 Diesel Million 14.4 13.7 Tons 13.5 13.6 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.1 Jet¹ 2.9 2.6 0.5 + 47.7% 6.3 - 5.9% 0.5 6.1 5.3 6.1 1.7 1.3 1.3 0.4 1.2 18:2 0.2 0.7 5.2 5.6 5.6 5.4 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.6 2019 2020 2021 2022 2019 2020 2021 2022 LPG Gasoline 2.4 1.8 2.2 2.2 2.2 1.5 0.4 1.4 0.3 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.6 + 17.1% -4.9% 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 2019 2020 2021 2022 ¹Transit flight consumption included Oct-22 Investor Presentation Turkish Market www.tupras.com.tr 2019 2020 2021 2022 Q1 Q2 72 July 10#11Turkey's Net Import / Export Balance Million Tons Import Export Jet Diesel -13.6 -13.2 -12.3 Gasoline LPG -16 -12 -5.9 -8.8 -8 2020 2019 2018 2017 Oct-22 Turkish Market Investor Presentation -2.9 -3.0 -3.2 -3.1 -3.4 Tüpraş' Market Share 2021 12M 0.4 0.3 -0.4 0.3 Diesel 44% 0.1 1.9 3.0 2.4 3.2 2.8 -4 0 4 2016 www.tupras.com.tr Jet 86% Gasoline 97% Fuel Choice of Passenger Cars 2021 Diesel; 38% EV/Hybrid 1% ' LPG; 36% Gasoline; 25% 11#12Company Overview#13Tüpraş Shareholder Structure Tüpraş is Turkey's biggest industrial company and leading refiner. Koç Holding 77% D DİTAŞ 79.98% Eppet 40% Aygaz 20% Energy Investments Inc. (SPV) 46.4% Opet 3% Koç Holding and Other Koç 6.82% 100% Tüpras Free Float² 46.78% Körfez Ulaştırma Tüpras Trading 100% → ENTEK Oct-22 Investor Presentation 99.24% Company Overview www.tupras.com.tr Domestic Ownership 43% Foreign Ownership 57% 1 As of December 31st, 2021 2 Includes %1.11 shares of Liquid Petroleum Co. 13#14Tüpraş' Refining Assets & Distribution Network İzmit İzmir Kırıkkale Batman Total Turkey's petroleum Capacity (mn tons) 11.3 11.9 5.4 1.4 30 product needs Nelson Complexity 14.5 7.66 6.32 1.83 9.5 Storage Capacity (mn m³) 3.0 2.5 1.3 0.3 7.0 OPET Marmara Terminal 721,000 m³ İzmir İstanbul Izmit Kırıkkale Ankara OPET Antalya Terminal OPET Mersin 19,392 m³ Mersin Terminal 240,000 m³ Ceyhan Integrated system optimization with high complexity, procurement & logistics flexibility Oct-22 Investor Presentation Company Overview OPET Giresun Terminal 43,130 m³ Batman Baku Others; 45% Tüpraş; 55% Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan Oil Pipeline Kirkuk Iraq-Turkey Oil Pipeline Railway Crude Pipeline Terminal Refinery www.tupras.com.tr Turkey's Storage Capacity Others; 43% Tüpraş & Opet; 57% 14#15Nelson Complexity of Refining Companies Oct-22 Investor Presentation F9.7 CANADA 8.9 NWE 8.2 RUSSIA EAST 9.7 EUROPE İzmit 11.6 USA Refinery 14.5 TÜPRAŞ 9.5 10.4 7.7 EAST 9.9 JAPAN 8.9 MED ASIA CHINA 7.2 MIDDLE EAST 9.0 SOUTH ASIA F7.1 LATIN AMERICA 5.0 AFRICA Company Overview www.tupras.com.tr 7.9 AUSTRALLIA 15#16Tüpraş Subsidiaries 990 OYA Dpet 309 OPET - Distribution • • Tüpraş Share: 40% 1,827 stations as of 30 June 2022 As of May 2022 Market share: 18.8% in white products; 24.2% in black products Tupras Trading Tüpraş Trading UK - Trading Tüpraş Share: 100% Over 7 million tons of product trade More than 3 million tons of spot crude oil connections Trading Office in London is important for wider integration with the global energy landscape by allowing to: ■ Closely monitor international market opportunities ☐ Support import and export operations ■ Create additional value from supply chain and sales activities Oct-22 Investor Presentation Company Overview www.tupras.com.tr 16#17Tüpraş Subsidiaries TGONUL DİTAŞ - Marine Transport Tüpraş Share: 79.98% 2 Crude Oil Tanker: 314,906 DWT • 1 Crude Oil - Product Tanker: 49,990 DWT 10 Product Tanker: 171,383 DWT Oct-22 Investor Presentation KUDE 0003 120 Körfez Ulaştırma - Railway Transport Tüpraş Share: 100% ~7% share in Turkish rail freight market • ~1.7 mn ton of product and semi-product carried in 2021 • Operates with 12 locomotives (7 of them are hybrid) and 555 cistern wagons Company Overview www.tupras.com.tr 17#18Tüpraş Subsidiaries Entek - Electricity (Tüpraş Share: 99.24%) 442 MW total installed capacity 66 MW 112 MW 17.5 MW EBITDA (million TL)* 422 178 380 365 28 MW MW 16.4 MW CCGT Power Plant 24.4 MW Hydroelectric Power Plant Production (000 MWh) 2019 2020 2021 PTF Price ($/MWh) 171 722 6M 2021 6M 2022 Wind Power Plant 5yr range 5 yr ave 2021 2022 210.9 169.2 124.7 138.0 134.2 114.7 112.9 103.2 87.3 1,542 1,359 1,341 752 654 2019 2020 2021 6M 2021 6M 2022 Oct-22 Company Overview Investor Presentation www.tupras.com.tr 40.3 40.5 41.1 38.2 43.3 46.8 80.3 73.1 74.9 65.8 60.3 61.3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 18#19Operations ONS GIRİLMEZ#20Crude Suppliers of Tüpraş In 2021, Tüpraş purchased 21 different types of crude from 11 countries with gravities ranging between 20-47 API. Main Crude Suppliers in 2021 Crude Oil Imports by Region (%) Middle East ■CIS Europe Africa America 3 10 12 12 10 10 10 14 23 11 7 14 7 13 14 34 27 21 21 11 76 79 81 71 63 55 42 64 61 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Oct-22 Operations www.tupras.com.tr Investor Presentation 20#21Q2 2022 Product Yields Q2 2021 Other Bitumen 3% Kok 6% LPG 3% 4% Gasoline Other 21% Fuel Oil white 7% Black Prod. 2% Light 17% Distil. 26% Naphtha 1% Mid. Distil. 55% Jet 12% Diesel 43% White Product Yield (%) Production API Oct-22 Operations Investor Presentation 82.0% 6.5 mn tons 31.4 www.tupras.com.tr Q2 2022 Other Bitumen LPG 2% Kok 7% 3% 3% Other Gasoline 22% Fuel Oil white 9% 2% Light Black Prod. 19% Distil. 26% Naphtha 1% Diesel 39% Mid. Distil. 53% Jet 14% White Product Yield (%) Production ΑΡΙ 79.8% 7.1 mn tons 31.3 21#22Annual Product Yields 2020 Other LPG 1% Bitumen 3% 12% Kok Gasoline Other 3% 21% white Fuel Oil Black Prod. 1% Light 2% Distil. 17% 25% Naphtha 1% Jet Diesel 45% Mid. Distil. 57% White Product Yield (%) Production ΑΡΙ Oct-22 Investor Presentation Operations 12% 81.5% 23.4 mn tons 31.5 www.tupras.com.tr 2021 Other Bitumen LPG 2% Kok 8% 3% 4% Other Gasoline 21% Fuel Oil white 6% Black Prod. 2% Light 18% Distil. 25% Naphtha 1% Mid. Distil. 55% Jet 12% Diesel 43% White Product Yield (%) Production ΑΡΙ 81.4% 25.1 mn tons 31.2 22#23Capacity Utilization and Quarterly Production Volume Quarterly Production (Million Tons) Capacity Utilization (%) 7 2019 -2020 2021 -2022 8 6.5 6.0 6 5 4.6 4 Q1 Crude Oil Semi Product Feedstock -Total 7.0 98 98 96 96 7.1 6.9 91 7 88 6 82 5 7 65 7 9 93 All 87 91 75 81 56 98 91 85 76 Q2 Q3 Q4 2018 2019 2020 2021 Q1 21 Q2 21 *Capacity utilization calculation is based on 30 mn tons for Q1 2019 and onwards. Oct-22 Operations Investor Presentation www.tupras.com.tr Q3 21 Q4 21 Q1 22 100 93 Q2 22 23#24Sales • Tüpraş generated 27.6 million tons of total sales in 2021. Total Sales mn tons 31.5 29.8 29.2 27.6 5.8 4.2 24.5 6.8 5.9 4.7 Customer Groups 2021 Other 10% International sales 21% Jet 11% Exports 25.7 25.6 I Domestic Sales 22.4 19.8 21.7 Total Sales, 2021 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 27.6 mn tons Distributors Domestic Sales of Key Products 52% mn tons OTHER 7% 2.9 3.5 BP 2.2 1.8 1.6 14% 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.9 Bitumen 4.9 4.5 2.3 Sales to 4.3 3.0 2.2 Gasoline Distributors 2021 Jet Fuel 11.3 11.9 10.4 10.6 11.4 SHELL 14.3 mn tons 21% Diesel OPET 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 29% Oct-22 Operations Investor Presentation www.tupras.com.tr Bitumen 6% OMV POAŞ 29% 24#25Product Sales in Q2 2022 (Million Tons) Tüpraş generated 7.3 million tons of sales in Q2 2022, 6% higher y-o-y. Y-o-y growth in domestic jet fuel, gasoline, and diesel sales were strong with robust demand. Total Product Sales Domestic Product Sales International Sales Domestic Sales of Selected Products Diesel Jet Fuel Gasoline Bitumen 7.4 7.3 7.1 6.9 0.9 0.7 1.6 0.3 1.6 0.6 1.8 0.4 5.3 0.8 0.4 0.6 1.3 0.6 1.2 0.9 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 6.7 5.7 5.5 5.1 4.1 3.1 3.1 2.7 2.6 2.3 Q2 2018 Q2 2019 Q2 2020 Q2 2021 Q2 2022 Q2 2018 Q2 2019 Q2 2020 Q2 2021 Q2 2022 Oct-22 Operations Investor Presentation www.tupras.com.tr 25#26Financials NSiZ EZ#27Tüpraş and Med Refining Margins 8.1 Tüpraş Net Margin Med Margin 9.3 ($/bbl) Gross Inventory Margin Effect Clean Clean Gross NET Margin Margin Net Med Margin Margin 5.7 Q2 2022* 25.6 0.0 25.6 19.8 19.8 44.7 5.3 4.6 3.7 2021 10.5 2.1 8.4 3.6 5.7 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.3 Q2 2021 8.8 1.8 7.0 2.8 4.6 0.3 2022G 13-14 -0.2 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Premium to the benchmark Mediterranean peers' refining margin due to: • Ability to use heavier and sour crudes with higher complexity • • Access to a wide range of cheaper sources of crude oil Ability to produce a broad range of refined products with higher value added • Close proximity to major suppliers reduces transport costs Lower cost basis and more efficient energy usage • Direct pipeline connections with domestic clients * Med Margin is higher than Tüpraş's Net Margin in Q2 2022 after the significant widening in Urals due to Russia-Ukraine war. Weight of Ural crude oil is 100% for crude oil supplies in the theoretical calculation of Med Margin. Oct-22 Investor Presentation Financials www.tupras.com.tr 27#28Income Statement (Million TL) Q2 Q2 H1 H1 Million TL % % 2022 2021 2022 2021 • Net Sales COGS Gross Profit 17,737 135,785 33,688 303% -118,048 -30,724 284% 498% 212,326 53,509 297% -189,285 -49,018 286% 2,964 23,041 4,491 413% Operating Expenses -2,047 -691 196% -3,097 -1,248 148% • Income/Loss from other operations -3,531 -325 986% -5,029 -1,910 163% Operating Profit 12,159 1,948 524% 14,915 1,334 1018% Inc./Loss from Equity pick ups 126 50 149% 335 60 457% Operating Profit Before Fin. Income/Loss 12,285 1,999 515% 15,251 1,394 994% . Financial Income/Expense -1,332 -702 90% -3,236 -1,058 206% Profit Before Tax 10,953 Details of Income Statement Y-o-y increase in Opex is mainly driven by logistics expenses increasing to 1 bn TL due to higher sales and TL depreciation in Q2'22. Loss from other operations are mainly due to FX losses from trade payables, offset by reciprocal inventory gains in gross profit. Opet's contribution is recorded under income from equity- pickup. 1,297 745% 12,015 337 3469% • Net Profit (excluding minority interest) 10,611 1,700 524% 11,507 939 1125% Financial Income and Expenses EBITDA *(mn. TL) 16,066 2,512 540% 20,733 3,681 463% Inventory Gain/Loss (mn. TL) 2,931 1,407 108% 7,034 2,919 141% EBITDA* (mn. TL) CCS 13,134 1,105 1089% 13,700 763 1696% consist of hard currency balance sheet items' FX gains/losses and related FX derivative gains/losses, balance of which are offset by reciprocal inventory gains. Oct-22 Financials Investor Presentation *On CMB reports. EBIT includes extra items such as FX impacts of trade receivables and payables. In our EBITDA calculation. FX related items are excluded from EBIT in line with international practices. www.tupras.com.tr 28#29Income Statement (Million TL) 12M 12M Million TL Net Sales % 2021 2020 150,972 63,244 139% COGS Gross Profit -135,521 -61,480 -120% 15,451 1,764 776% Operating Expenses -3,242 -2,012 -61% Income/Loss from other operations -11,744 -371 -3065% Operating Profit 465 -619 Inc./Loss from Eq. Pick ups & Inv. activities 701 -28 Operating Profit Before Fin. Income/Loss 1,166 -647 Financial Income/Expense 996 -3,149 Profit Before Tax 2,161 -3,795 Net Profit (excluding minority interest) 3,319 -2,494 EBITDA *(mn. TL) Inventory Gain/Loss (mn. TL) EBITDA* (mn. TL) CCS 13,688 545 2410% 8,659 -457 5,029 1,003 402% Oct-22 Financials Investor Presentation *On CMB reports. EBIT includes extra items such as FX impacts of trade receivables and payables. In our EBITDA calculation. FX related items are excluded from EBIT in line with international practices. www.tupras.com.tr 29#30Financial Highlights EBITDA (mn TL) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Net Income (mn TL) IQ1 Q2 Q3 Q4 20,734 11,507 13,688 16,066 10,611 8,908 7,267 3,713 3,319 1,887 1,392 1,766 4,039 526 -2,494 988 542 3,778 545 2,739 1,027 186 1,700 738 378 870 896 376 956 -375 -760 2,210 2,512 4,668 1,495 383 397 -155 -2,265 1,033 851 477 1,170 -185 -1,291 -420 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Current Ratio & Net Debt/ EBITDA 17.1 Current Ratio -Net Debt/EBITDA Return on Average Equity (%) 0.8 37% 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.0 2.1-0 1.1 5% 1.3 -0.2 -20% 2018 2019 2020 2021 Q2 2022 Oct-22 Financials Investor Presentation 2018 2019 (1) Excluding minority interest www.tupras.com.tr 23% 69% 2020 2021 2022#31Balance Sheet Analysis Net Debt In Billion TL bn TL 12.0 11.2 9.4 8.4 -In Billion $ bn $ 12.7 40 40 Redemption Schedule (Billion TL) 2.2 TL Hard Currency $ equivalent 30 30 -0.3 20 37.5 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9 13.8 2.3 1.4 0.8 0.9 10 4.6 -5.4 0.2 0.1 0.6 Dec-18 Dec-19 Dec-20 Dec-21 Mar-22 Jun-22 0 Cash & Cash Eq. 1 year 1-2 years 2-3 years 3-4 years 4-5 years Over 5 years Working Capital Requirement (Billion TL) 4.7 -3.6 -3.6 -4.7 -6.4 Dec-18 Dec-19 Dec-20 Dec-21 Mar-22 -9.6 Jun-22 Oct-22 Financials Investor Presentation www.tupras.com.tr Financial Management Working capital buffer expanded with better collection performance and higher inventory turnover Strong operating cash flow and working capital management has led to net cash position 31#32- Profit Before Tax Bridge (Q2 2021 – Q2 2022) Strong crack margins and wider differentials boosted PBT despite elevated energy expenses and TL devaluation. Million TL 1,297 1,563 1,529 15,163 -4,086 28 10,953 -4,541 Q2 2021 PBT Crack Margin Crude Oil Differentials Inventory Impact Natural Gas Impact FX and Interest Other Q2 2022 PBT Oct-22 Investor Presentation Financials www.tupras.com.tr 32#33Annual Profit Before Tax Bridge (2020-2021) PBT performance was strong in 2021 with better operational performance and lower interest expenses as net FX impact mostly matched with inventory gains Million TL -3795.0 +9,118 Inventory FX -8,530 588.0 452.0 3521.0 -1335.0 741.0 1990.0 2161.0 2020 PBT FX & Inventory Crack Margin Crude Oil Diff NG Price Increase in Sales Other 2021 PBT Oct-22 Financials Investor Presentation www.tupras.com.tr 33#342022 Expectations Med Complex Refining Margin Expectation Withdrawn Tüpraş Net Refining Margin 13 - 14 $/bbl • 26-27 mt production, 28-29 mt sales and 90 - 95% capacity utilization Consolidated Capex ~200 million $ • ~45% of capex for sustainability focused energy efficiency and environmental projects Oct-22 Investor Presentation www.tupras.com.tr 34#35H1 2022 Results Refining Margins ($/bbl) Tüpraş Net Margin 18.0 16.0 14.0 12.0 10.0 8.0 13.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 Capacity Utilization (%) Tüpraş FY Target 100 90 80 70 60 50 92.0 40 30 20 10 0 H1 2022 13 $/bbl net refining margin in H1 2022 Operationals (mn Ton) H1 2022 92% total capacity utilization in H1 2022 13.8 mn tons of sales and 13.1 mn tons of production in H1 2022 H1 2022 FY Target 300 29 250 27 200 150 26 28 Total Capex (mn $)(*) 200 Other IESG focused 59 mn $ total CAPEX in H1 2022, with 40% spent on ESG related investments 13.8 13.8 100 59 ● Total 50 40% ~45% 0 H1 2022 FY Target Production 03/10/2022 Earnings Presentation Sales (*) Investments in Sustainable Refining under the areas of Process Improvement, Energy Efficiency, HSE and Environmental projects are considered as ESG focused investments. Investments in Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Zero Carbon Electricity and Green Hydrogen fields are considered as ESG focused investments. Investments for electrical train cars and 35 HSFO scrubbers for ships are considered as ESG focused investments.#36Investments (Million $) Achievements & Ongoing Projects c6.9 bn USD investments since privatization Reached 9.5 Nelson Complexity • Capability to process heavier and more sour crude • 20 pps improvement in Energy Intensity since 2008 • 25% decrease in water consumption per crude oil processed since 2008 Revamp of FCC, Periodic Maintenance of Vacuum & Lube Complex in Izmir in 2022 Strategic Transition - Investment Program 27% CO2 emission reduction by 2030 (scope1+2), 100% reduction by 2050 Investment in Zero Carbon Electricity to mainly produce green hydrogen (reaching 2.5GW capacity by 2035) Reaching 1GW electrolyzer capacity to produce green hydrogen by 2035 Installing 400 kton/year biofuel (mainly SAF) production capacity by 2030 as a best alternative fuel for aviation 296 2006-2010 Oct-22 Financials Investor Presentation Avg. 460 Mn$ 980 250 2011-2014 2015-2021 www.tupras.com.tr Avg. 350 Mn$ 320 400 300 2022-2030 2031-2035 2035-2050 *Average Investment Amounts - Mn$ 36#37Financial Policy Financial Discipline: Risk management policies focusing on areas such as leverage, liquidity, counterparty risk, commodity, interest rate and currency exposure. Leverage & Liquidity Proactive in liquidity risk management & targets/limits for financial ratios: • Net financial debt/EBITDA Net financial debt/Equity • Current ratio • Share of long-term debt Counterparty Risk Policy Deposit is kept within bank-based limits: • Credit rating assessment and strong capital base. . • • Interest Rate & Fx • Cap on the maximum deposit allocated to a single bank. Threshold for deposits subject to banks shareholders' equity. The fixed/floating profile of financial debt. Proactive management of FX risk with derivative instruments • Zero FX exposure target. Inventory Hedging Policy: • Commodity Hedging Policy • Operational hedge: Optimum stock policy & forward pricing mechanism. Financial hedge: Expected inventory exposure for the year end is hedged by using derivatives. Hedging ratio increasing throughout the year. Crack Margin Hedging Policy: . • Financial hedge: Crack margin (gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, fuel oil) risk mitigation by using derivatives. Hedge ratio between %0-%50 with up to 1 year hedge tenor • Oct-22 Financials Investor Presentation www.tupras.com.tr 37#38FX Exposure Management (30 June 2022) Tüpraş continues to employ strict FX policies to mitigate currency risks stemming from volatility. Consolidated Hard Currency Assets Cash 1,640 Receivables & Other Assets 192 Million $ Consolidated Hard Currency Liabilities Payables & Other Liabilities 5,058 ST Financial Loans 312 • RUP: 194 • Other: 117 *Cash Flow Hedge Oct-22 Investor Presentation www.tupras.com.tr Stock 2,859 LT Financial Loans 959 Forward 1,411 • RUP: 96 Cash Flow Hedge 290 • • Eurobond: 700 Other Loans: 163 +63 mn $ 38#39Strategy#40Strategic Transition Plan - Investment Areas SUSTAINABLE REFINING +1 1 ZERO CARBON ELECTRICITY • • Energy Efficiency and Decarbonization Projects Remain as a Major EBITDA Contributor Improve energy efficiency to drive up profitability Diversify product portfolio through lighter chemicals Within 2022-2035; ~2.3 bn USD capex, ~13 bn USD Cumulative EBITDA Integrating Zero Carbon Electricity to produce Green H, Ensure affordable green H₂ production, capturing electrification demand Primarily supply zero carbon electricity for H2 production, remaining portion to be sold. Within 2022-2035; ~1.3 bn USD capex, ~400 MUSD Cumulative EBITDA • BIOFUELS Becoming the Lead SAF Supplier in Turkey Capture changing market for liquid fuels, ensure long term profitability in aviation sector. Conversion of existing unit in İzmir to produce Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Within 2022-2035; ~600 MUSD capex, ~1.1 bn USD Cumulative EBITDA Oct-22 Investor Presentation Strategy H₂ GREEN HYDROGEN Reducing Refining Emissions Capture changing market for land transportation, reduce refining emissions. • Reduce Scope 1-2 emissions of refineries. Followed by H2 sales, starting from 2030. Within 2022-2035; ~690 MUSD capex, ~640 MUSD Cumulative EBITDA www.tupras.com.tr 40#41Strategic Transition Plan - Emission Reduction -BASE YEAR- SCOPE 1 + 2 7.3 MN TONNES EMISSION REDUCTION SCOPE 1 & 2 We will invest in energy efficiency & decarbonization Projects, green hydrogen & zero carbon electricity usage in refining to reduce scope 1 & 2 emissions "I || II || "I || "I || Oct-22 Investor Presentation Strategy www.tupras.com.tr || 11 || "I || || -27% -35% -49% || -100% 2017 2030 2035 2040 2050 41#42Strategic Transition Plan - Financials We are sustainable and profitable. Will eliminate our scope 1 & 2 emissions by 2050 while executing our plan and achieving these results. $350mn average CAPEX until 2035, totaling $5 bn. ROACE will remain above 25% creating ~$9bn total CF until 2035 With ample CF, Net Debt/ EBITDA will be below <2.0x Will remain a high dividend payer, average ~80% dividend pay-out ~$5bn > 25% ~$9 bn USD <1.5x ~80% TOTAL CAPEX ROACE TOTAL CF NET DEBT/EBITDA AVG. DIVIDEND PAYOUT Oct-22 Strategy www.tupras.com.tr Investor Presentation 42#43Strategic Transition Plan - Latest Updates ZERO CARBON ELECTRICITY BIOFUELS Tüpras The takeover process of Entek, our first breakthrough in the field of zero-carbon electricity generation, ENTEK completed. We are in the installation phase to produce sustainable aviation fuel, We will use Honeywell's UOP Ecofining™ technology in our İzmir refinery. 12.6 mw An agreement was signed for the construction and installation of a Solar Power Plant in Kırıkkale Refinery with 12.6 MW capacity. Oct-22 Strategy Investor Presentation www.tupras.com.tr 8,300 b/d With this technology, we plan to convert approximately 8,300 b/d waste into sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), renewable diesel and other products. 43#44ESG DI Tipras TCM ras#45Tüpraş's Environmental Highlights Sustainability program was kicked off back in 2008 and achieved many milestones Energy Intensity Achievements 102.2 Energy Intensity Targets 96.1 119.1 103.4 102.22 99.1 98.44 99.1 93.5 93.3 1.8 0.1 1.1 0.1 2008 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Water Consumption per processed crude oil Waste Water Recovery (%) Energy Saving (TJ) 2017 2021 Target Ongoing Energy Efficiency Projects Other Projects Future Energy Efficiency Future Other 2030 Target Projects Projects 82% 3620 70% 70% 1.1 63% 64% 64% 50% 0.82 0.74 0.62 0.66 0.64 0.55 978 1054 830 713 473 Environmental Investment (MUSD) 1925 202 390 346 150 268 238 388 2008 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2008 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2008 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Oct-22 ESG Investor Presentation www.tupras.com.tr 45#46Tüpraş's Social & Governance Highlights Strong Policies have been effectively implemented for years HUMAN RIGHTS ANTI-BRIBERY, ANTI-CORRUPTION DONATION & SPONSORSHIP Corporate Governance Rating 9.58 DISCLOSURE Health & Safety and Diversity are the Key Priorities Female Share in Total Employees Female Representation in Senior and Mid-Level Management Female Share in Recruitment Diversity 40% Targets Female Representation in the Board of Directors in the next 32% five years 23% 25% 17.1% 15% 17.0% 17.5% 17.2% Targeted Rate of 9.4% 9.6% 9.5% Women in New 14.4% 12% 8.7% 9.2% 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 COMPETITION COMPLIANCE Board of Directors' Composition 12 members One-third of the members are independent Committees under BoD Corporate Governance Risk Management Audit Executive Ethics ■LTI Severity Targets ⚫LTI Frequency 2024- 2025 2030 Process Safety Event Frequencies Health & Safety Process Safety Event Freq. 0.30 0.25 36.1 1.49 27.8 25.8 1.02 18.9 18.2 LTI Frequency 0.30 0.15 0.87 16.4 0.59 Recruitments 0.7 0.7 0.42 0.38 0.5 0.4 LTI Severity 10.0 5.0 50% 0.4 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022T Tüpraş is taking place in these sustainability indices Oct-22 BORSA İSTANBUL Investor Presentation V.E ESG MSCI TCFD TASK FORCE ON CLIMATE-RELATED FINANCIAL DISCLOSURES Bloomberg Gender-Equality Index 2022 FTSE4Good SUSTAINALYTICS www.tupras.com.tr 46#47Appendix 40 3589 sti LC 10 HOWIC 0 Tupras#482022 Refinery Maintenance Schedule Refinery Unit Starting Quarter Duration (weeks) Purpose Status Crude Oil & Vacuum Q1 15 Done Batman Seasonal Crude Oil & Vacuum Q4 4 Planned Vacuum Q1 6 Done Periodic Maintenance Lube Complex Q1 7 Done İzmir Crude Oil Q4 9 Planned CCR & Isom. & Desulp. Q4 6 Revamp Planned & FCC HYC Q4 4 Planned Isomerization Q1 5 Done Vacuum Q1 3 Done Periodic İzmit Desulphurizer Q1 3 Done Maintenance Crude Oil & Vacuum End of Q3 6 Planned HYC End of Q3 6 Planned Oct-22 Investor Presentation Appendix www.tupras.com.tr 48#49Turkish Market Fuel Consumption 2017-2021 Million Tons Diesel 28 -2.4% -4.4% +0.5% +10.1% 24.9 8 24.2 23.6 22.5 22.7 14 4 Jet Fuel* +10.5% +6.5% 5.3 5.0 -54.4% 4.5 +41.2% 3.4 2.4 0 0 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Gasoline 3.0 +1.2% +3.0% -2.5% +29.2% 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.3 2 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Source: Tüpraş and EMRA * Transit flight consumption included Oct-22 Investor Presentation Appendix S 3 1 о www.tupras.com.tr LPG +1.6% +0.8% -7.4% +1.2% 4.1 4.1 4.2 3.9 3.9 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 49#50Competition - STAR Refinery Timeline Turkish Market Structure (mn tons) Turkish Turkey 11411 Tüpraş STAR Total Market Balance Demand Demand* LPG 1.1 0.3 1.4 4.2 -2.8 Petchem F. 0.2 2.6 2.8 Gasoline 6.1 6.1 2.4 3.7 • Feasibility studies began in 2010 and Jet Fuel 5.2 1.6 6.8 5.3 1.5 construction kicked off in 2011 Diesel 10.7 4.8 15.2 22.5 -7.3 • Goldman Sachs has acquired a 13% stake in SOCAR Turkey for $1.3 billion. Fuel Oil 1.8 1.8 0.3 1.5 Bitumen 3.1 3.1 • Total investment size 6.3 bn USD, with Pet coke 0.8 0.7 1.5 3.3 bn USD credit agreement. • Following the completion of construction late 2018, reached full Total ~30 ~10 ~40 capacity utilization in August 2019 * Source: EMRA Oct-22 Investor Presentation Appendix www.tupras.com.tr 50#51Competition - Regional Competition Tüpraş competes with 71 refineries in the Mediterranean and Black Sea markets. Mediterranean regional product balance is also affected from Middle East, North West Europe and Asia flows Mediterranean Black Sea Portugal France Croatia Spain Italy Albani Greece Turkey Tunisia Morocco Algeria Moldova Ukraine Romania Bulgaria Syria Israel Libya Egypt 54 Refineries ~7.8mbd Oct-22 Investor Presentation Appendix www.tupras.com.tr Turkey 17 Refineries ~1.8mbd Russia Georgia 51#52European Pump Price Comparison Turkish fuel prices are highly competitive with other European countries. Gasoline (TL/Lt) Refinery Price Tax Diesel (TL/Lt) 40 35 30 Refinery Price Tax 40 35 30 16.9 19.5 15.8 13.7 13.8 16.2 17.2 25 22 16.6 13.4 11.9 11.8 13.3 13.2 15.5 6.0 20 5.4 15 15 10 10 10 16.8 17.9 19.1 18.8 19.5 17.3 18.8 19.0 19.7 16.1 16.6 18.3 18.9 20.6 19.6 15.8 5 5 20 22 25 0 TR Ita. Spa. Fra. UK EU-19 Ger. Gre Prices of Europe and Turkey, as of May 23rd, 2022 Oct-22 Investor Presentation Appendix TR Ita Fra. Spa. Gre. EU-19 Ger. UK www.tupras.com.tr 22 52#53Tüpraş Balance Sheet (Million TL) 30.06.2022 31.12.2021 Diff. Diff. (%) Current Assets 120,342 65,429 54,913 84 Cash & C. Equivalents 37,503 20,400 17,103 84 Trade Receivables 26,999 13,517 13,482 100 Derivatives 2,601 3,818 -1,217 -32 Inventories 46,901 23,756 23,145 97 Pre-paid expenses 374 186 187 101 Other Current Assets 5,964 3,751 2,212 59 Long Term Assets 39,693 37,106 2,587 7 Financial Assets & Subsidiaries 2,379 2,156 223 10 Tangible & Intangible Fixed Assets 26,921 26,537 384 1 Derivatives 45 44 1 2 Pre-paid expenses 137 95 43 45 Deferred Tax 8,057 6,378 1679 26 Other Longterm Assets 2,154 1,897 257 14 Total Assets 160,035 102,535 57,500 56 Short Term Liabilities 112,043 64,002 48,042 75 Financial Loans 12,895 11,399 1,496 13 Trade Payables 83,470 43,704 39,766 91 Derivatives Provisions 4,310 3,302 1,007 31 474 200 273 137 Other ST Liabilities 10,895 5,396 5,499 102 Long Term Liabilities 19,842 20,706 -864 -4 Financial Loans 19,207 20,219 -1,012 -5 Payables & Provisions 622 448 174 39 Derivatives Other LT Liabilities 2 29 -27 -94 11 11 0 4 Total equity attributable to equity holders of the parent Minority Interests 27,798 352 17,557 10,241 58 270 82 30 Total Liabilities & Equity 160,035 102,535 57,500 56 03/10/2022 www.tupras.com.tr Earnings Presentation 53#54Dividend (TL) 77% 101% 79% Avg. Payout Ratio: 90%* 102% 87% 89% 66% 64% 10.2 6.5 7.2 6.2 3.2 2.5 2.9 3.0 5.03.9 5.8 5.8 4.8 3.9 1.6 0.0 33% EPS DPS 0% Dividend Payout 15.2 113.6 14.815.2 13.3 2.10.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 0% 0.00 0% Strategic Transition Dividend Plan 80% Our new business model enables us to pay ~80% average dividends and we will remain as a high dividend payer 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2025- 2035 *Years without dividend payments are not taken into account. Dividend payout ratio is calculated according to distributable net income based on statutory accounts Oct-22 Appendix Investor Presentation www.tupras.com.tr 54#55Tüpraş - Ratings Tüpraş BIST Corporate Governance Rating Score Credit Rating Scores Overall 95.8 Foreign Currency Fitch Ratings MOODY'S S&P Global Long Term Ratings Shareholders 95.5 Tüpraş Turkey B (Negative) B3 (Stable) B (Negative) B3 (Stable) B+ (Negative) Koç Holding B3 (Stable) B+(Negative) Transparency 97.2 Stakeholders Board 0 25 50 50 99.5 94.6 75 100 *data as of May 2022 Source: SAHA Corporate Governance and Rating Services Inc. (October 2021) Oct-22 Investor Presentation Appendix www.tupras.com.tr Analyst Recommendations 27% 73% Buy ■ Hold Sell Source: Bloomberg* 55#56Tüpraş Production Flow and Yield Breakdown • Tüpraş has 30 million tons of production capacity Tüpraş operates 4 refineries with an integrated system optimization program Key Units # of Units Capacity (m³/d) CRUDE OIL 8 99,420 Flow Diagram LPG MEROX LPG, 3.5% Gasoline Naphtha, 22.0% VACUUM DIST. 8 42,752 HYDROCRACKER 4 18,032 ISOMER. NAPHTHA SPLITTER Benzen Saturation UNIFINER REFORMER ISOMERATION 7,804 Jet Fuel / Kerosene 16.5% UNIFINER 5 16,225 REFORMER 5252 5252 5252 KERO/DIESEL (HDS) پاک کر KERO/DIESEL 9 37,265 ស (HDS) FCC Diesel, FCC Gasoline HDS 33.9% FCC 2 4,650 VACUUM DIST. COKER 1 9000 Multiple distillation HYDROCRACKER ΝΑΡΗΤΑ SPLITTER and production units Lube Oil LPG MEROX 6 COKER Bitumen Lube Oil, 0.5% Bitumen & Fuel Oil, 19.9% Other, 3.8% Oct-22 Investor Presentation Appendix www.tupras.com.tr 56#57RUP Feedstock and Production • Residuum Upgrade Plant (RUP) was completed in 2015 and it is the main conversion unit of Tüpraş. First periodic maintenance was completed in Q2 2019. • Oct-22 Investor Presentation Appendix Natural Gas ~0.25 mt Vacuum Resid ~1.2 mt Atm. Resid ~3.0 mt Total Processing ~4.50 mn tons www.tupras.com.tr Diesel 2.883 Gasoline 522 LPG 69 PetroCoke 690 Sulphur 86 Total Output ~4.25mn tons 57#58LPG and Naphtha Cracks $/bbl LPG Naphta 5yr range 2022 2021 5 yr ave 5yr range 2022 - 2021 5 yr ave 5 -0.3 5 0 -2.1 -3.2 0.3 0.9 -4.2 0.2 2.7 0.11.0 -5 4.5 -3.6 -5 -8.1 17.2 -10.0 -11.4 -10 -13.7 -15.8 -10.5 -15.7 -15 17.2 -17.7 -15 -19.6 -21.4 -25 -24.0 -29.5 -35 -23.2 27.7 -29.2 -20 -25 -30 34.7 -35 -41.7 -42.2 -45 -43.0 -40 -52.8 -55 -45 -53.5 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 11 12 data as of 30 September 2022 and 5 year range refers to :2017-2021 Oct-22 Appendix Investor Presentation www.tupras.com.tr -18.9 -30.8 -30.7 -40.8 -23.1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 58#59Koç Holding • Turkey's Leading Investment Holding Company Koç Holding is Turkey's largest industrial and services group • The only Turkish company in Fortune Global 5002. Pioneer in its Sectors Leading positions with clear competitive advantages in sectors with long-term growth potential such as energy, automotive, consumer durables and finance. ~8 Combined Revenues / GDP1 ~7% Total Exports / Turkey's Exports ~21% Koç Group's Market Cap/ Borsa Istanbul 100 Index Notes Data as of YE21 (1) 2021 Report (based on consolidated revenues) (2) 2021 report (based on consolidated revenues) Oct-22 Investor Presentation Appendix www.tupras.com.tr Koc 59#60Investor Presentation Tüpras Koc Latest Webcast Sustainability Report Strategic Transition Plan [email protected]

Download to PowerPoint

Download presentation as an editable powerpoint.

Related

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group 2021 Financial Overview image

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group 2021 Financial Overview

Financial

Organic Capital Generation and IFRS Transition Outlook image

Organic Capital Generation and IFRS Transition Outlook

Financial

Acquisition of Marshall & Ilsley Corp. image

Acquisition of Marshall & Ilsley Corp.

Financial

SMBC Group's Financial and Credit Portfolio image

SMBC Group's Financial and Credit Portfolio

Financial

Blue Stripe Fund Summary image

Blue Stripe Fund Summary

Financial

BRI Performance Highlights and Green Initiatives image

BRI Performance Highlights and Green Initiatives

Financial

Latvia Stability Programme Report image

Latvia Stability Programme Report

Financial

International Banking Volume & Growth Summary image

International Banking Volume & Growth Summary

Financial